28%
Playoff odds
0
Points pace
Outside the playoff spots, 4 points behind VGK. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Colorado Avalanche
Thursday, October 8 · 7:00 p.m. MT SNW
Playoff odds after Thursday's gameWin → 30%OT loss → 27%Loss → 24%
First of 3 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Flames
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | 2 | .797 | -5.5 |
| Devin Cooley | 1 | .880 | -0.3 |
Flames
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | 2 | .912 | +0.0 |
| Scott Wedgewood | 0 | — | — |
Sun, Oct 4 · @ Kraken
1–6L
Kraken beat the Flames 6–1 in an even game: expected goals were 2.8–2.6 and 13–11 in high-danger chances.
Top Flames ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Oct 1 · vs SEA
1–6L
xG 2.7–3.9
Shot share 55%
Oct 3 · @ VAN
1–4L
xG 1.9–3.4
Shot share 55%
Oct 4 · @ SEA
1–6L
xG 2.8–2.6
Shot share 59%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Morgan Frost (1.48)
1 G · 3 SOG
Matt Coronato (1.42)
5 SOG
Matt Coronato (1.28)
1 G · 1 SOG
Ryan Strome (1.12)
1 G · 4 SOG
Matvei Gridin (1.00)
4 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
47.4%
23rd/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
56.8%
11th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
45.6%
23rd/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
83.3
32nd/ 325v5 Sh% 1.4 · Sv% 81.9
Luck0 pts · deserved 2.85-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
-5.9
30th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
1.00
31st/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
5.33
31st/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
27.33
15th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
28.33
18th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
40.0%
6th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
90.0%
9th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
50.8%
15th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.821
29th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Special-teams merchants
with a streak of can't stay out of the box
The power play and penalty kill are doing the heavy lifting.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Flames clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (52 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
16.7% this season · 10.4% career
14.3% this season · 10.3% career
12.5% this season · 10.9% career
Due
0.0% this season · 8.4% career
0.0% this season · 12.0% career
0.0% this season · 9.8% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Flames shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
1.0
9th/ 32Distance skated
139.0 mi
8th/ 32League avg 122.4 mi
Shots over 90 mph
0
19th/ 32Offensive-zone time
43.2%
11th/ 32League avg 40.9%
Defensive-zone time
38.6%
11th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending