48%
Playoff odds
84
Points pace
Outside the playoff spots, 1 point behind MTL. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Wednesday, October 7 · 7:30 p.m. ET TNT, HBO MAX
Playoff odds after Wednesday's gameWin → 51%OT loss → 47%Loss → 44%
First of 4 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Capitals
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | 1 | .931 | +1.5 |
| Logan Thompson | 1 | .939 | +2.2 |
Capitals
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 2 | .886 | -0.4 |
| Sergei Murashov | 1 | .912 | -0.5 |
Sat, Oct 3 · @ Lightning
1–3L
Lightning beat the Capitals 3–1 and earned it, out-chancing them 4.7–2.3 in expected goals and 11–6 in high-danger chances.
Top Capitals ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
The trend line appears after three games.
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Alex Tuch (1.83)
2 G · 3 SOG
Jakob Chychrun (1.73)
1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG
Logan Thompson (1.65)
+2.2 goals saved above expected
Pierre-Luc Dubois (1.28)
2 A · 1 SOG
Ilya Protas (1.22)
1 A · 0 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 2 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
45.8%
25th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
44.6%
22nd/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
40.7%
27th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
106.8
5th/ 325v5 Sh% 14.3 · Sv% 92.5
Luck2 pts · deserved 1.55-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+3.7
4th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
3.00
16th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.50
12th/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
24.00
24th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
31.50
28th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
25.0%
13th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
88.9%
10th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
46.4%
26th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.935
6th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 2 games so far
Goalie carrying them
with a streak of can't stay out of the box
Their goaltending is stopping far more than an average goalie would behind a defence that gives up a lot.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 1+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Capitals clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (52 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
40.0% this season · 13.0% career
100.0% this season · 14.3% career
20.0% this season · 8.0% career
Due
0.0% this season · 10.6% career
0.0% this season · 10.7% career
0.0% this season · 15.1% career
Only 2 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Capitals shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
3.0
3rd/ 32Distance skated
86.1 mi
32nd/ 32League avg 122.4 mi
Shots over 90 mph
0
19th/ 32Offensive-zone time
33.2%
32nd/ 32League avg 40.9%
Defensive-zone time
48.9%
32nd/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending