61%
Playoff odds
112
Points pace
Holding a playoff spot (2nd in the Metropolitan), 2 points ahead of NYI. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Washington Capitals
Wednesday, October 7 · 7:30 p.m. ET TNT, HBO MAX
Playoff odds after Wednesday's gameWin → 64%OT loss → 61%Loss → 58%
First of 4 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Penguins
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 2 | .886 | -0.4 |
| Sergei Murashov | 1 | .912 | -0.5 |
Capitals
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | 1 | .931 | +1.5 |
| Logan Thompson | 1 | .939 | +2.2 |
Mon, Oct 5 · @ Penguins
3–2W
Jets beat the Penguins 3–2 and earned it, out-chancing them 3.2–2.8 in expected goals.
Top Penguins ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Sep 30 · @ PHI
7–0W
xG 4.1–1.7
Shot share 63%
Oct 3 · vs MTL
6–5W
xG 3.5–3.0
Shot share 40%
Oct 5 · vs WPG
2–3L
xG 2.8–3.2
Shot share 51%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Filip Hallander (3.47)
1 G · 2 A · 3 SOG
Hendrix Lapierre (2.85)
1 G · 1 A · 1 SOG
Nick Robertson (2.35)
2 G · 4 SOG
Kaedan Korczak (2.23)
2 A · 3 SOG
Samuel Girard (2.20)
2 A · 2 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
59.4%
6th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
51.3%
15th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
68.4%
2nd/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
103.3
11th/ 325v5 Sh% 11.4 · Sv% 91.9
Luck4 pts · deserved 4.15-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
-0.9
22nd/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
5.00
3rd/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.67
16th/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
33.33
2nd/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
26.00
13th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
40.0%
6th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
100.0%
1st/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
45.5%
27th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.897
19th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Special-teams merchants
with a streak of built for the playoffs
The power play and penalty kill are doing the heavy lifting.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
1 OT winner · 5th in the NHL
1 clutch assist · 18th in the NHL
1 clutch assist · 30th in the NHL
2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
40.0% this season · 14.3% career
33.3% this season · 12.5% career
28.6% this season · 11.3% career
Due
0.0% this season · 14.7% career
0.0% this season · 11.9% career
0.0% this season · 10.9% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Penguins shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
1.0
9th/ 32Distance skated
137.9 mi
11th/ 32League avg 122.4 mi
Shots over 90 mph
3
2nd/ 32Offensive-zone time
42.2%
14th/ 32League avg 40.9%
Defensive-zone time
40.2%
14th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending