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Final

NSH at TBL game report

Predators
1–2
Lightning

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 5:00 p.m. ET · Benchmark International Arena

Lightning beat the Predators 2–1 and earned it, out-chancing them 3.8–1.5 in expected goals and 7–5 in high-danger chances.

Team comparison

TBLNSH
  • 2Goals1
  • 3.83Expected goals1.48
  • 1.805-on-5 expected goals0.73
  • 7High-danger chances5
  • 22Shots on goal13
  • 54Shot attempts31
  • 375-on-5 shot attempts20
  • 8:44Power-play time11:10

5-on-5 shares for TBL: 64.9% of shot attempts, 71.1% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

LightningPredatorsCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Predators shooting ←→ Lightning shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Jack Ahcan: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 9:00)Jack Ahcan: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 9:01)Jack Ahcan: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 6:40)Brady Martin: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 15:01)Max Crozier: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 4:26)Sam O'Reilly: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 15:40)Chase Bradley: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 2:13)Chase Bradley: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 16:43)Conor Geekie: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 8:51)Max Crozier: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 0:08)Ilya Mikheyev: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 4:29)Erik Cernak: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 14:28)Jack Ahcan: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 3:20)Victor Hedman: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 9:51)John Carlson: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 19:00)John Carlson: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 18:46)Aiden Fink: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 15:59)Nick Perbix: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 13:55)Oleg Kulebiakin: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 14:33)Joakim Kemell: missed, 0.05 xG (P2 17:15)Brandon Hagel: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 10:36)Brandon Hagel: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 12:45)Reid Schaefer: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 9:42)Tyson Jost: missed, 0.05 xG (P3 1:49)Sam O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 15:48)Brandon Hagel: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P2 0:38)Felix Nilsson: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 13:20)Anthony Cirelli: missed, 0.06 xG (P3 10:19)Conor Geekie: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 9:07)Nikita Kucherov: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P3 13:46)Hunter Skinner: missed, 0.07 xG (P1 1:15)Tyson Jost: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P3 17:12)Nikita Kucherov: missed, 0.08 xG (P2 19:38)Max Crozier: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P2 5:07)Brayden Point: missed, 0.08 xG (P2 0:21)Brady Martin: missed, 0.08 xG (P2 18:04)Conor Geekie: missed, 0.08 xG (P3 9:42)Anthony Cirelli: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P1 6:27)Ethan Czata: missed, 0.10 xG, high danger (P3 10:44)Anthony Cirelli: missed, 0.10 xG (P1 3:14)Brayden Point: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P1 10:29)Brandon Hagel: missed, 0.10 xG, high danger (P1 9:46)Ilya Mikheyev: goal, 0.11 xG, high danger (P1 1:33)Jake Guentzel: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P1 9:36)Ozzy Wiesblatt: shot on goal, 0.11 xG, high danger (P2 18:46)Conor Geekie: goal, 0.11 xG (P1 15:31)Sam O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 8:33)Max Crozier: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P3 14:44)David Edstrom: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 18:53)Brady Martin: goal, 0.13 xG (P1 7:39)Nikita Kucherov: shot on goal, 0.13 xG (P1 19:21)Cole O'Hara: missed, 0.14 xG, high danger (P1 17:37)Brady Martin: missed, 0.17 xG, high danger (P2 17:40)Aiden Fink: shot on goal, 0.19 xG, high danger (P3 3:27)Sam O'Reilly: missed, 0.19 xG (P1 17:44)Ethan Czata: shot on goal, 0.27 xG, high danger (P2 9:29)Nikita Kucherov: missed, 0.53 xG (P3 19:00)Benjamin Rautiainen: missed, 0.61 xG (P3 19:40)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from TBL's point of view
TBL at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 535:2937–201.80–0.732–1
Power play8:448–90.45–0.690–0
Shorthanded11:103–10.24–0.000–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)4:376–11.34–0.060–0

Read pairs as TBL–NSH. “Power play” means TBL had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Juuse Saros NSH20/22.9092.69+0.69
Andrei Vasilevskiy TBL12/13.9231.48+0.48

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Most dangerous shooters

Players ranked by individual expected goals
PlayerGSOGAttHDixG
Nikita Kucherov TBL02400.81
Benjamin Rautiainen TBL00100.61
Brady Martin NSH12510.40
Sam O'Reilly TBL02510.39
Ethan Czata TBL01420.37
Conor Geekie TBL12400.29
Brandon Hagel TBL03410.26
Anthony Cirelli TBL01410.26
Max Crozier TBL03610.25
Aiden Fink NSH02310.22

Three stars

  1. ★S. O'ReillyTBL · 0G 1A
  2. ★★I. MikheyevTBL · 1G 0A
  3. ★★★A. VasilevskiyTBL · .923 SV%

Scoring

Period 1

  • 01:33TBL I. Mikheyev (from J. Carlson, B. Point)0–1
  • 07:39NSH B. Martin (from R. Schaefer, J. Ahcan)1–1
  • 15:31TBL C. Geekie (from S. O'Reilly)1–2