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Final

TBL at NSH game report

Lightning
2–3
Predators

Tuesday, September 22, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. CT · Bridgestone Arena

Predators beat the Lightning 3–2 in overtime in an even game: expected goals were 2.7–2.4 and 11–10 in high-danger chances.

Team comparison

NSHTBL
  • 3Goals2
  • 2.70Expected goals2.43
  • 1.995-on-5 expected goals2.36
  • 11High-danger chances10
  • 26Shots on goal27
  • 55Shot attempts47
  • 465-on-5 shot attempts44
  • 5:34Power-play time2:06

5-on-5 shares for NSH: 51.1% of shot attempts, 45.7% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

PredatorsLightningCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Lightning shooting ←→ Predators shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Justus Annunen: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 14:56)Sam O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 10:39)Emil Lilleberg: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 3:53)Steven Santini: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 1:00)Michael Callahan: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 9:17)Brady Skjei: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 14:24)Gage Goncalves: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 10:43)Conor Geekie: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 15:58)Filip Forsberg: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 9:48)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 4:57)Ryan Ufko: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 9:40)Brady Skjei: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 7:02)Jakob Pelletier: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 4:50)Jack Ahcan: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 13:13)Maxim Groshev: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 5:24)Gage Goncalves: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 18:40)Steven Santini: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 9:06)Pontus Holmberg: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 7:38)Brady Skjei: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 5:18)Conor Geekie: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 7:49)Tanner Molendyk: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 14:27)Reid Schaefer: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 8:50)Maxim Groshev: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 3:23)Ozzy Wiesblatt: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 1:48)Noah Steen: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 2:32)Matthew Wood: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 13:05)Charle-Edouard D'Astous: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 19:53)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 15:34)Jansen Harkins: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 18:48)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.04 xG, high danger (P1 19:16)Filip Forsberg: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 19:57)Jakob Pelletier: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 1:10)Sam O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 3:20)Nils Hoglander: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 2:07)Felix Nilsson: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 15:09)Pontus Holmberg: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 0:21)Ryan Ufko: missed, 0.05 xG (P2 17:59)Filip Forsberg: missed, 0.05 xG, high danger (P2 14:24)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 19:14)Roman Josi: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 1:16)Justin Barron: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 17:19)Benjamin Rautiainen: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 14:35)Gage Goncalves: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 3:43)Felix Nilsson: missed, 0.06 xG (POT 2:08)Nick Abruzzese: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P1 14:07)Justin Barron: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 9:45)Jack Ahcan: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P3 10:03)Filip Forsberg: missed, 0.07 xG, high danger (P3 7:15)Matthew Wood: goal, 0.07 xG, high danger (P3 13:30)David Edstrom: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P2 16:18)Benjamin Rautiainen: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P3 12:50)Conor Geekie: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 5:19)Chase Bradley: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P2 1:52)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P2 17:00)Jeffrey Viel: goal, 0.09 xG (P2 3:44)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.10 xG (P3 13:16)Matthew Wood: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P3 13:00)Dylan Duke: missed, 0.11 xG (P2 3:52)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P1 19:39)Matthew Wood: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P1 12:53)Felix Nilsson: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P2 17:53)Jakob Pelletier: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P1 1:17)Jansen Harkins: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 9:03)Sam O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 11:36)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P1 12:43)Noah Steen: shot on goal, 0.14 xG, high danger (P3 6:27)Emil Lilleberg: shot on goal, 0.14 xG, high danger (P1 8:40)Matthew Wood: goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P3 17:41)Jeffrey Viel: goal, 0.16 xG, high danger (P3 4:54)Noah Steen: missed, 0.17 xG, high danger (P3 6:32)Filip Forsberg: missed, 0.17 xG (POT 0:31)Felix Nilsson: goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (POT 2:33)Pontus Holmberg: shot on goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P2 7:44)Matthew Wood: shot on goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P3 13:22)Jeffrey Viel: missed, 0.27 xG, high danger (P2 3:33)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from NSH's point of view
NSH at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 552:0246–441.99–2.362–2
Power play5:346–00.42–0.000–0
Shorthanded2:060–10.00–0.040–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)2:513–20.29–0.031–0

Read pairs as NSH–TBL. “Power play” means NSH had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Justus Annunen NSH25/27.9262.43+0.43
Dennis Hildeby TBL23/26.8852.70-0.30

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Most dangerous shooters

Players ranked by individual expected goals
PlayerGSOGAttHDixG
Matthew Wood NSH26950.94
Filip Forsberg NSH051440.66
Jeffrey Viel TBL22420.52
Felix Nilsson NSH12410.41
Noah Steen TBL02320.34
Pontus Holmberg TBL02310.25
Jakob Pelletier TBL02410.18
Sam O'Reilly TBL03310.17
Jansen Harkins TBL01210.16
Benjamin Rautiainen TBL02400.15

Three stars

  1. ★M. WoodNSH · 2G 0A
  2. ★★F. NilssonNSH · 1G 0A
  3. ★★★F. ForsbergNSH · 0G 0A

Scoring

Period 2

  • 03:44TBL J. Viel (from Z. Girgensons)1–0

Period 3

  • 04:54TBL J. Viel (from P. Holmberg, T. Kralovic)2–0
  • 13:30NSH M. Wood (from R. Ufko, R. Josi)2–1
  • 17:41NSH M. Wood (from J. Ahcan)2–2

Overtime

  • 02:33NSH F. Nilsson2–3