Final
TBL at FLA game report
Lightning
3–2
Panthers
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 6:00 p.m. ET · Amerant Bank Arena
Lightning beat the Panthers 3–2 in a shootout in an even game: expected goals were 2.5–2.1 and 9–7 in high-danger chances.
Team comparison
FLATBL
- 2Goals3
- 2.46Expected goals2.09
- 1.465-on-5 expected goals1.15
- 9High-danger chances7
- 22Shots on goal22
- 42Shot attempts39
- 295-on-5 shot attempts26
- 5:46Power-play time10:41
5-on-5 shares for FLA: 52.7% of shot attempts, 55.8% of expected goals.
Expected goals through the game
PanthersLightningCircles mark goals
Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.
Shot map
Lightning shooting ←→ Panthers shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
By strength
| FLA at… | Time | Attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 on 5 | 41:47 | 29–26 | 1.46–1.15 | 2–1 |
| Power play | 5:46 | 9–9 | 0.38–0.54 | 0–0 |
| Shorthanded | 10:41 | 0–0 | 0.00–0.00 | 0–0 |
| Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net) | 6:46 | 4–4 | 0.62–0.40 | 0–1 |
Read pairs as FLA–TBL. “Power play” means FLA had the extra skater.
Goaltending
| Goalie | Saves | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Hildeby TBL | 20/22 | .909 | 2.46 | +0.46 |
| Akira Schmid FLA | 20/22 | .909 | 2.09 | +0.09 |
GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.
Most dangerous shooters
| Player | G | SOG | Att | HD | ixG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rautiainen TBL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.52 |
| Hunter St. Martin FLA | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0.50 |
| Nathan Bastian FLA | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0.37 |
| Jack Devine FLA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.34 |
| Cole Reinhardt FLA | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0.32 |
| Noah Steen TBL | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.28 |
| Pontus Holmberg TBL | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.24 |
| Gage Goncalves TBL | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.23 |
| Cole Schwindt FLA | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.22 |
| Mikulas Hovorka FLA | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.19 |
Three stars
- ★B. RautiainenTBL · 1G 0A
- ★★D. HildebyTBL · .909 SV%
- ★★★L. MercuriTBL · 1G 0A
Scoring
Period 1
- 08:50TBL L. Mercuri (from N. Abruzzese, J. Viel)1–0
- 17:58FLA S. Vilmanis (from K. Schwindt)1–1
Period 2
- 02:03FLA M. Shuravin (from G. Sawchyn, M. Hovorka)1–2
Period 3
- 12:58TBL B. Rautiainen pp (from G. Goncalves, C. Geekie)2–2
Shootout
- 00:00TBL B. Rautiainen3–2