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Final

NYI at TOR game report

Islanders
1–2
Maple Leafs

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 · 7:30 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Arena

Maple Leafs beat the Islanders 2–1 in an even game: expected goals were 3.0–2.6.

Team comparison

TORNYI
  • 2Goals1
  • 2.60Expected goals2.99
  • 1.375-on-5 expected goals1.81
  • 10High-danger chances10
  • 26Shots on goal27
  • 48Shot attempts68
  • 335-on-5 shot attempts47
  • 8:19Power-play time9:01

5-on-5 shares for TOR: 41.3% of shot attempts, 43.1% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

Maple LeafsIslandersCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Islanders shooting ←→ Maple Leafs shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Calum Ritchie: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 19:35)Bo Horvat: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 9:22)Jean-Gabriel Pageau: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 15:45)Matthew Schaefer: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 19:54)Kyle Palmieri: missed, 0.00 xG (P1 0:24)Darren Raddysh: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 13:52)Matthew Schaefer: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 0:33)Adam Pelech: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 6:24)Simon Holmstrom: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 16:30)Jake McCabe: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 8:27)Ondrej Palat: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 6:26)Brandon Duhaime: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 17:27)Alexander Romanov: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 1:05)Logan Stanley: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 4:50)Bo Horvat: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 0:53)Bo Horvat: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 9:06)Kyle Palmieri: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 16:12)Matthew Schaefer: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 14:58)Adam Pelech: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 1:43)Oliver Ekman-Larsson: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 9:38)Kyle Palmieri: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 18:43)Kirill Marchenko: shot on goal, 0.03 xG, high danger (P3 0:47)Simon Holmstrom: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 16:04)Darren Raddysh: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 19:28)Bo Groulx: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 14:33)Calum Ritchie: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 17:21)Kyle Palmieri: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 16:08)Easton Cowan: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 11:34)Nick Paul: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 7:04)Kyle Palmieri: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 19:19)Kyle Palmieri: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 12:34)Nick Paul: missed, 0.04 xG, high danger (P1 17:20)Oliver Ekman-Larsson: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 16:11)Colton Sissons: shot on goal, 0.04 xG, high danger (P2 8:16)Tony DeAngelo: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 1:57)Matthew Schaefer: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 19:26)Matthew Schaefer: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 2:04)Kyle Palmieri: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 0:27)Tony DeAngelo: missed, 0.05 xG (P3 18:01)Teddy Blueger: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 12:22)Brandon Duhaime: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 3:05)Easton Cowan: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 8:30)Colton Sissons: missed, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 14:22)Colton Sissons: missed, 0.06 xG, high danger (P3 4:11)Jack Roslovic: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P1 13:43)Gavin McKenna: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 15:22)Victor Eklund: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 8:03)Oliver Ekman-Larsson: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P2 12:58)Emil Heineman: missed, 0.06 xG (P2 12:24)Alexander Romanov: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 6:39)Jack Roslovic: missed, 0.07 xG (P3 14:56)Jack Roslovic: missed, 0.07 xG (P1 16:49)Bo Horvat: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P3 11:32)Darren Raddysh: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 16:40)Colton Sissons: missed, 0.07 xG, high danger (P1 7:05)Anthony Duclair: shot on goal, 0.07 xG, high danger (P3 6:38)Auston Matthews: shot on goal, 0.07 xG, high danger (P2 16:12)Calum Ritchie: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P3 9:01)Ondrej Palat: shot on goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 12:04)Darren Raddysh: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P3 13:45)William Nylander: missed, 0.09 xG (P2 19:20)Brayden Schenn: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P3 3:38)Bo Horvat: missed, 0.09 xG, high danger (P3 12:37)Jack Roslovic: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P1 11:53)Morgan Rielly: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P1 17:25)John Tavares: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P2 18:12)Ryan Pulock: missed, 0.10 xG (P2 11:44)Anthony Duclair: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P1 14:00)Kirill Marchenko: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P2 13:22)Colton Sissons: goal, 0.11 xG, high danger (P1 7:14)Simon Holmstrom: missed, 0.11 xG (P1 13:09)William Nylander: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P2 15:06)Matias Maccelli: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P3 19:20)Kirill Marchenko: shot on goal, 0.14 xG (P1 15:23)Jack Roslovic: missed, 0.15 xG, high danger (P3 10:40)Anthony Duclair: shot on goal, 0.16 xG, high danger (P2 6:37)Anthony Duclair: shot on goal, 0.16 xG (P2 11:50)Easton Cowan: goal, 0.17 xG, high danger (P1 11:55)Victor Eklund: shot on goal, 0.20 xG, high danger (P2 10:39)Victor Eklund: missed, 0.21 xG (P3 12:23)Auston Matthews: missed, 0.23 xG (P3 18:27)Emil Heineman: goal, 0.24 xG, high danger (P3 14:09)Kyle Palmieri: shot on goal, 0.32 xG, high danger (P3 7:19)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from TOR's point of view
TOR at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 540:3633–471.37–1.811–0
Power play8:1912–120.76–0.701–0
Shorthanded9:010–20.00–0.240–1
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)2:043–70.47–0.250–0

Read pairs as TOR–NYI. “Power play” means TOR had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Anthony Stolarz TOR26/27.9632.99+1.99
Ilya Sorokin NYI24/26.9232.37+0.37

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingMaple Leafs5.8Islanders5.9

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Easton CowanFTOR7.911313:2359.1
★Top three of the night: Anthony StolarzGTOR7.500—58:22—
★Top three of the night: Bo HorvatFNYI7.401422:3163.0
Colton SissonsFTOR7.210211:2255.6
Nick PaulFTOR7.201115:4365.0
Jack RoslovicFTOR7.101214:5371.4
Matthew SchaeferDNYI7.000327:4579.4
Emil HeinemanFNYI6.610113:2658.8
Kyle PalmieriFNYI6.500418:3565.4
Adam PelechDNYI6.400019:5176.0
Calum RitchieFNYI6.300216:0366.7
Anthony DuclairFNYI6.200412:1759.1
Morgan RiellyDTOR6.201119:4944.8
Oliver Ekman-LarssonDTOR6.100215:3056.0
Ilya SorokinGNYI6.100—57:56—
Casey CizikasFNYI6.00009:2963.2
Auston MatthewsFTOR5.900120:0461.1
Simon HolmstromFNYI5.900020:1761.3
Tony DeAngeloDNYI5.900017:1461.5
Ondrej PalatFNYI5.800210:0658.8
Troy StecherDTOR5.600016:0552.6
Darren RaddyshDTOR5.600420:3645.2
Matias MaccelliFNYI5.600117:3966.7
Kirill MarchenkoFTOR5.500318:1652.4
Bo GroulxFTOR5.40019:4941.2
Logan StanleyDNYI5.300015:0655.6
Alexander RomanovDNYI5.000217:0937.0
Victor EklundFNYI5.000211:5852.9
Brayden SchennFNYI5.000114:2746.2
Brandon DuhaimeFTOR5.000214:3920.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI4.900113:5041.2
Teddy BluegerFTOR4.800012:3221.4
Ryan PulockDNYI4.800016:2728.6
Jake McCabeDTOR4.700120:1929.6
Gavin McKennaFTOR4.600115:3226.9
John TavaresFTOR4.500116:5824.0
Chris TanevDTOR4.500020:3924.1
William NylanderFTOR4.300117:2916.0

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Maple Leafs

Forward lines

  • Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko9:13 · 10–3 · xG 0.5–0.1
  • Tavares – Nylander – McKenna8:25 · 3–19 · xG 0.1–1.0
  • Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx6:35 · 3–10 · xG 0.1–0.1
  • Sissons – Paul – Cowan5:54 · 10–6 · xG 0.4–0.2

Defence pairs

  • Rielly – Raddysh13:28 · 11–14 · xG 0.3–0.5
  • Tanev – McCabe12:18 · 7–18 · xG 0.2–0.5
  • Ekman-Larsson – Stecher8:48 · 10–6 · xG 0.6–0.2

Islanders

Forward lines

  • Palmieri – Horvat – Holmstrom7:16 · 15–7 · xG 0.3–0.3
  • Schenn – Maccelli – Ritchie5:00 · 4–1 · xG 0.0–0.0
  • Pageau – Heineman – Eklund4:50 · 3–5 · xG 0.1–0.3
  • Cizikas – Palat – Duclair4:30 · 7–3 · xG 0.4–0.1

Defence pairs

  • Pelech – Schaefer10:11 · 13–4 · xG 0.3–0.2
  • Pulock – Romanov9:29 · 4–14 · xG 0.3–0.4
  • DeAngelo – Stanley5:28 · 5–8 · xG 0.1–0.3

Three stars

  1. ★A. StolarzTOR · .963 SV%
  2. ★★E. CowanTOR · 1G 1A
  3. ★★★C. SissonsTOR · 1G 0A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 07:14TOR C. Sissons (from N. Paul, E. Cowan)0–1
  • 11:55TOR E. Cowan pp (from J. Roslovic, M. Rielly)0–2

Period 3

  • 14:09NYI E. Heineman sh (from B. Horvat)1–2