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Final

OTT at TOR game report

Senators
3–2
Maple Leafs

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Arena

Senators beat the Maple Leafs 3–2 and earned it, out-chancing them 4.8–3.2 in expected goals.

Team comparison

TOROTT
  • 2Goals3
  • 3.24Expected goals4.75
  • 2.335-on-5 expected goals2.74
  • 17High-danger chances15
  • 29Shots on goal29
  • 68Shot attempts54
  • 505-on-5 shot attempts32
  • 7:20Power-play time8:34

5-on-5 shares for TOR: 61.0% of shot attempts, 45.9% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

Maple LeafsSenatorsCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Senators shooting ←→ Maple Leafs shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Tyler Kleven: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 18:29)Jake McCabe: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 11:06)Jack Roslovic: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 0:11)Troy Stecher: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 17:09)Troy Stecher: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 2:58)Morgan Rielly: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 13:16)Claude Giroux: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 3:16)Darren Raddysh: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 5:05)Tim Stützle: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 4:12)Nikolas Matinpalo: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 2:19)Stephen Halliday: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 11:53)Drake Batherson: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 10:43)Jordan Spence: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 5:52)William Nylander: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 1:02)Bo Groulx: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 2:52)Jack Roslovic: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 2:28)Jack Roslovic: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 19:29)Teddy Blueger: missed, 0.02 xG, high danger (P1 13:28)Auston Matthews: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 1:05)William Nylander: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 3:42)Gavin McKenna: missed, 0.03 xG, high danger (P2 19:53)Thomas Chabot: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 15:57)Claude Giroux: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 11:23)Kirill Marchenko: missed, 0.03 xG (P2 3:22)Jack Roslovic: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 13:54)Nick Paul: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 12:14)Morgan Rielly: missed, 0.03 xG (P2 6:38)Colton Sissons: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 6:08)Shane Pinto: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 10:12)Carter Yakemchuk: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 15:29)Colton Sissons: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 14:17)Kirill Marchenko: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 13:45)Darren Raddysh: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 12:31)Thomas Chabot: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 11:54)Shane Pinto: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 13:35)Carter Yakemchuk: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 7:50)Dylan Cozens: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 1:48)Shane Pinto: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 6:31)William Nylander: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 12:40)Jordan Spence: missed, 0.05 xG (P3 12:23)Jordan Spence: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 0:48)Tim Stützle: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 0:21)Auston Matthews: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P3 18:12)Auston Matthews: goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 0:33)Fabian Zetterlund: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 9:45)Kirill Marchenko: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P2 3:36)Auston Matthews: missed, 0.06 xG (P3 18:08)Easton Cowan: missed, 0.06 xG (P1 15:42)Gavin McKenna: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P1 16:39)Auston Matthews: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P1 0:25)Claude Giroux: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P1 18:50)Thomas Chabot: goal, 0.07 xG, high danger (P1 18:51)Claude Giroux: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P3 13:27)Dylan Cozens: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 10:34)Michael Amadio: missed, 0.07 xG (P3 12:33)Auston Matthews: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P2 6:58)Nick Paul: missed, 0.08 xG (P1 2:23)Stephen Halliday: shot on goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P3 6:29)Auston Matthews: shot on goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 3:15)John Tavares: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P1 12:29)Tim Stützle: missed, 0.09 xG (P3 8:40)Colton Sissons: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P2 8:12)John Tavares: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P1 19:27)Colton Sissons: shot on goal, 0.10 xG, high danger (P1 12:16)Michael Amadio: missed, 0.10 xG (P3 12:19)Dylan Cozens: shot on goal, 0.11 xG, high danger (P1 18:57)Drake Batherson: missed, 0.11 xG, high danger (P3 7:51)Stephen Halliday: missed, 0.11 xG (P3 10:53)William Nylander: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P2 13:32)Auston Matthews: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P3 7:06)Nick Paul: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P1 12:15)Nick Paul: missed, 0.12 xG, high danger (P2 2:10)John Tavares: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P2 8:37)Hayden Hodgson: missed, 0.13 xG (P1 9:06)Colton Sissons: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 8:13)Shane Pinto: shot on goal, 0.13 xG (P3 11:39)William Eklund: shot on goal, 0.13 xG (P3 10:43)William Nylander: missed, 0.13 xG (P3 4:23)William Eklund: missed, 0.15 xG, high danger (P2 1:09)William Nylander: missed, 0.15 xG (P3 4:32)Shane Pinto: shot on goal, 0.16 xG, high danger (P1 3:35)Kirill Marchenko: goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P2 7:06)Drake Batherson: shot on goal, 0.19 xG, high danger (P3 6:15)Stephen Halliday: goal, 0.20 xG, high danger (P3 9:46)William Eklund: shot on goal, 0.20 xG, high danger (P3 1:49)Stephen Halliday: missed, 0.20 xG, high danger (P2 16:25)Auston Matthews: missed, 0.21 xG, high danger (P3 4:26)William Eklund: shot on goal, 0.23 xG, high danger (P3 8:55)Michael Amadio: goal, 0.25 xG, high danger (P2 12:40)William Nylander: shot on goal, 0.28 xG, high danger (P2 17:46)William Eklund: missed, 0.42 xG, high danger (P2 10:56)William Eklund: shot on goal, 0.76 xG, high danger (P3 6:32)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from TOR's point of view
TOR at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 541:2350–322.33–2.741–3
Power play7:2011–170.76–1.711–0
Shorthanded8:341–10.00–0.000–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)2:436–40.16–0.300–0

Read pairs as TOR–OTT. “Power play” means TOR had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Linus Ullmark OTT27/29.9313.24+1.24
Sergei Bobrovsky TOR26/29.8974.75+1.75

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingMaple Leafs6.2Senators5.8

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Thomas ChabotDOTT8.711227:0654.1
★Top three of the night: Darren RaddyshDTOR7.601222:4672.7
★Top three of the night: Auston MatthewsFTOR7.610621:5057.1
Claude GirouxFOTT7.502418:1746.7
Sergei BobrovskyGTOR7.300—58:50—
Michael AmadioFOTT7.210119:1353.6
Morgan RiellyDTOR7.101118:2358.8
Shane PintoFOTT7.001420:2753.6
Fabian ZetterlundFOTT6.901112:0663.6
William NylanderFTOR6.901221:2557.7
Stephen HallidayFOTT6.810210:0742.9
Linus UllmarkGOTT6.800—60:00—
Kirill MarchenkoFTOR6.610219:2658.3
Tim StützleFOTT6.601222:5136.0
John TavaresFTOR6.501318:0357.1
Oliver Ekman-LarssonDTOR6.300017:0868.6
Colton SissonsFTOR6.100414:2473.7
Easton CowanFTOR6.000012:0781.8
Bo GroulxFTOR5.80017:2260.0
Nick PaulFTOR5.800217:0371.4
Chris TanevDTOR5.600017:2860.0
Jack RoslovicFTOR5.600214:4951.9
Gavin McKennaFTOR5.600112:4661.9
Troy StecherDTOR5.500218:1052.8
Jake McCabeDTOR5.500117:4550.0
Teddy BluegerFTOR5.300010:2453.8
Brandon DuhaimeFTOR5.30009:5150.0
William EklundFOTT5.200416:1641.2
Drake BathersonFOTT5.100218:0237.0
Warren FoegeleFOTT5.100013:0140.0
Jordan SpenceDOTT5.000222:3043.2
Nikolas MatinpaloDOTT4.800118:4835.7
Carter YakemchukDOTT4.800117:5025.0
Jake SandersonDOTT4.80004:2918.2
Tyler KlevenDOTT4.700121:4328.6
Dylan CozensFOTT4.700216:177.7
Nick CousinsFOTT4.50007:216.3
Hayden HodgsonFOTT4.50005:107.1

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Maple Leafs

Forward lines

  • Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko8:10 · 11–7 · xG 0.3–0.2
  • Sissons – Paul – Cowan6:30 · 12–2 · xG 0.7–0.1
  • Tavares – Nylander – McKenna6:08 · 9–4 · xG 0.4–0.4
  • Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx4:49 · 4–4 · xG 0.0–1.0

Defence pairs

  • Rielly – Raddysh12:11 · 17–7 · xG 0.7–0.6
  • Tanev – McCabe11:42 · 6–6 · xG 0.4–0.2
  • Ekman-Larsson – Stecher11:17 · 17–10 · xG 0.8–0.8

Senators

Forward lines

  • Giroux – Amadio – Pinto7:46 · 10–9 · xG 0.3–0.3
  • Foegele – Batherson – Stützle6:40 · 4–10 · xG 0.1–0.6
  • Zetterlund – Cozens – Eklund6:14 · 1–3 · xG 0.1–0.1
  • Cousins – Hodgson – Halliday4:01 · 0–11 · xG 0.0–0.3

Defence pairs

  • Chabot – Spence8:06 · 11–7 · xG 0.7–0.2
  • Kleven – Matinpalo6:45 · 2–6 · xG 0.1–0.1
  • Sanderson – Yakemchuk2:12 · 0–7 · xG 0.0–0.4

Three stars

  1. ★T. ChabotOTT · 1G 1A
  2. ★★C. GirouxOTT · 0G 2A
  3. ★★★K. MarchenkoTOR · 1G 0A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 18:51OTT T. Chabot (from C. Giroux, S. Pinto)1–0

Period 2

  • 00:33TOR A. Matthews (from M. Rielly, W. Nylander)1–1
  • 07:06TOR K. Marchenko pp (from D. Raddysh, J. Tavares)1–2
  • 12:40OTT M. Amadio (from T. Stützle, T. Chabot)2–2

Period 3

  • 09:46OTT S. Halliday (from F. Zetterlund, C. Giroux)3–2