Final
WSH at TBL game report
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. ET · Benchmark International Arena
Lightning beat the Capitals 3–1 and earned it, out-chancing them 4.7–2.3 in expected goals and 11–6 in high-danger chances.
Team comparison
- 3Goals1
- 4.73Expected goals2.27
- 2.625-on-5 expected goals1.24
- 11High-danger chances6
- 30Shots on goal21
- 63Shot attempts61
- 465-on-5 shot attempts40
- 6:58Power-play time4:28
5-on-5 shares for TBL: 53.5% of shot attempts, 67.9% of expected goals.
Expected goals through the game
Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.
Shot map
By strength
| TBL at… | Time | Attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 on 5 | 42:40 | 46–40 | 2.62–1.24 | 2–1 |
| Power play | 6:58 | 11–6 | 0.81–0.25 | 0–0 |
| Shorthanded | 4:28 | 0–1 | 0.00–0.08 | 0–0 |
| Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net) | 5:54 | 6–14 | 1.29–0.70 | 1–0 |
Read pairs as TBL–WSH. “Power play” means TBL had the extra skater.
Goaltending
| Goalie | Saves | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren WSH | 27/29 | .931 | 3.57 | +1.57 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy TBL | 20/21 | .952 | 2.27 | +1.27 |
GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.
Player ratings
Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work
Average ratingLightning6.3Capitals5.5
| ★Top three of the night: Jake GuentzelFTBL | 9.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18:18 | 56.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Top three of the night: Brandon HagelFTBL | 8.8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22:07 | 60.7 |
| ★Top three of the night: Conor GeekieFTBL | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 66.7 |
| Nikita KucherovFTBL | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22:46 | 63.6 |
| Charlie LindgrenGWSH | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | — | 57:36 | — |
| Andrei VasilevskiyGTBL | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 60:00 | — |
| John CarlsonDTBL | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:35 | 68.2 |
| Charle-Edouard D'AstousDTBL | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:47 | 44.4 |
| Boone JennerFWSH | 6.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14:57 | 52.2 |
| Jakob ChychrunDWSH | 6.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27:11 | 50.0 |
| Victor HedmanDTBL | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:34 | 54.8 |
| J.J. MoserDTBL | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 | 65.0 |
| Erik CernakDTBL | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:34 | 46.2 |
| Cole HutsonDWSH | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:03 | 59.4 |
| Anthony CirelliFTBL | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 59.3 |
| Emil LillebergDTBL | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:30 | 68.8 |
| Brayden PointFTBL | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:32 | 54.2 |
| Alex TuchFWSH | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 60.0 |
| Justin SourdifFWSH | 5.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 | 29.4 |
| Anthony BeauvillierFWSH | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:37 | 55.0 |
| Ilya MikheyevFTBL | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 47.8 |
| Ryan LeonardFWSH | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 45.8 |
| Tom WilsonFWSH | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:49 | 52.4 |
| Pierre-Luc DuboisFWSH | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:34 | 58.1 |
| Vincent DesharnaisDWSH | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 50.0 |
| Zemgus GirgensonsFTBL | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 40.7 |
| Pontus HolmbergFTBL | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 50.0 |
| Jeffrey VielFTBL | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:34 | 50.0 |
| Ilya ProtasFWSH | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:55 | 37.5 |
| Alex OvechkinFWSH | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 33.3 |
| Jordan KyrouFWSH | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 43.5 |
| Dylan StromeFWSH | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | 36.4 |
| Timothy LiljegrenDWSH | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 39.3 |
| Matt RoyDWSH | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | 40.0 |
| Gage GoncalvesFTBL | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 | 44.4 |
| Ryan McDonaghDTBL | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:52 | 38.5 |
| Aliaksei ProtasFWSH | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 43.5 |
| Martin FehérváryDWSH | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 | 34.8 |
Lines used
Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against
Lightning
Forward lines
- Kucherov – Point – Goncalves10:02 · 11–7 · xG 0.4–0.1
- Girgensons – Holmberg – Mikheyev7:54 · 7–7 · xG 0.6–0.1
- Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel7:44 · 12–10 · xG 0.3–0.3
Defence pairs
- Carlson – Moser12:45 · 12–7 · xG 0.5–0.2
- McDonagh – Cernak8:18 · 6–13 · xG 0.5–0.4
- D'Astous – Lilleberg3:48 · 6–3 · xG 0.5–0.1
Capitals
Forward lines
- Wilson – Tuch – Dubois8:12 · 10–8 · xG 0.2–0.7
- Ovechkin – Strome – Leonard7:22 · 5–11 · xG 0.0–0.8
- Jenner – Beauvillier – Sourdif6:44 · 3–8 · xG 0.1–0.3
- Kyrou – Protas – Protas6:03 · 6–9 · xG 0.2–0.2
Defence pairs
- Roy – Chychrun10:30 · 7–14 · xG 0.2–0.9
- Desharnais – Hutson8:50 · 10–8 · xG 0.3–0.8
- Liljegren – Fehérváry6:53 · 2–12 · xG 0.0–0.3
Three stars
- ★A. VasilevskiyTBL · .952 SV%
- ★★B. HagelTBL · 0G 2A
- ★★★E. LillebergTBL · 0G 0A
Scoring
Period 1
- 02:26TBL C. D'Astous (from B. Hagel, J. Guentzel)0–1
- 16:30TBL C. Geekie (from B. Hagel, J. Guentzel)0–2
Period 2
- 07:04WSH J. Sourdif (from J. Chychrun, B. Jenner)1–2
Period 3
- 17:55TBL J. Guentzel (from N. Kucherov, J. Carlson)1–3