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Final

DAL at NSH game report

Stars
1–2
Predators

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. CT · Bridgestone Arena

Predators beat the Stars 2–1 in an even game: expected goals were 2.3–2.2 and 13–9 in high-danger chances.

Team comparison

NSHDAL
  • 2Goals1
  • 2.33Expected goals2.16
  • 2.015-on-5 expected goals1.64
  • 13High-danger chances9
  • 26Shots on goal30
  • 52Shot attempts65
  • 475-on-5 shot attempts56
  • 5:36Power-play time2:09

5-on-5 shares for NSH: 45.6% of shot attempts, 55.2% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

PredatorsStarsCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Stars shooting ←→ Predators shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Mikko Rantanen: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 4:07)Sam Steel: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 15:10)Jonathan Marchessault: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 17:33)Mikko Rantanen: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 19:25)Adam Wilsby: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 6:59)Alexander Kerfoot: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 19:09)Nick Perbix: missed, 0.00 xG (P3 5:28)Lian Bichsel: missed, 0.00 xG (P3 9:02)Adam Edstrom: missed, 0.00 xG (P2 7:23)Nils Lundkvist: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 19:21)Jason Robertson: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 1:45)Brady Skjei: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 4:23)Nils Lundkvist: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 8:11)Tyler Seguin: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 16:38)Oskar Bäck: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 11:21)Jack Ahcan: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 4:42)William Trudeau: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 13:36)Wyatt Johnston: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 1:02)Jamie Benn: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 0:35)William Trudeau: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 2:10)Thomas Harley: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 18:14)Mavrik Bourque: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 13:09)Thomas Harley: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 16:58)Tyler Seguin: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 2:49)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 9:13)Roope Hintz: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 12:38)Tyler Seguin: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 1:51)Jonathan Marchessault: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 1:33)Miro Heiskanen: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 2:23)Sam Steel: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 3:44)Brady Skjei: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 5:21)Tyler Myers: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 18:29)Arttu Hyry: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 0:20)Oskar Bäck: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 8:05)Roope Hintz: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 10:17)Jonathan Marchessault: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 7:08)Filip Forsberg: missed, 0.03 xG (P2 13:32)Tyler Myers: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 13:01)Tyler Seguin: missed, 0.03 xG, high danger (P3 2:50)Miro Heiskanen: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 16:50)Ross Colton: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 4:26)Filip Forsberg: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 12:54)Arttu Hyry: shot on goal, 0.04 xG, high danger (P3 17:31)Tyler Seguin: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 17:31)Mikko Rantanen: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 12:16)Miro Heiskanen: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 3:06)Matthew Wood: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 6:53)Roope Hintz: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 10:22)Nils Lundkvist: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 6:22)Miro Heiskanen: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 11:28)Radek Faksa: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 11:08)Adam Edstrom: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 12:39)Ross Colton: missed, 0.05 xG (P2 7:41)Roman Josi: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 13:43)Roope Hintz: missed, 0.05 xG (P3 16:44)Mavrik Bourque: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 8:03)Miro Heiskanen: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 7:36)Steven Stamkos: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 8:42)Nick Perbix: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P1 6:26)Steven Stamkos: missed, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 15:12)Thomas Harley: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 15:13)Nils Hoglander: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P1 7:01)Roope Hintz: missed, 0.07 xG, high danger (P2 12:40)Tyler Seguin: missed, 0.07 xG, high danger (P2 17:28)Mikko Rantanen: missed, 0.07 xG (P3 7:24)Jonathan Marchessault: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 5:15)Adam Edstrom: shot on goal, 0.07 xG, high danger (P1 12:41)Matthew Wood: shot on goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P1 6:39)Nils Hoglander: goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P1 15:49)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 18:02)Miro Heiskanen: goal, 0.08 xG (P1 0:47)Justin Hryckowian: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P1 8:20)Matthew Wood: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P2 9:28)Adam Edstrom: shot on goal, 0.10 xG, high danger (P1 4:59)Ryan O'Reilly: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P1 4:30)Jamie Benn: shot on goal, 0.11 xG, high danger (P1 17:21)Wyatt Johnston: missed, 0.12 xG (P3 11:48)Wyatt Johnston: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 2:52)Steven Stamkos: goal, 0.13 xG (P1 4:46)Roope Hintz: shot on goal, 0.14 xG, high danger (P2 2:54)Adam Edstrom: shot on goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P1 5:00)Matthew Wood: missed, 0.16 xG, high danger (P3 9:18)Mikko Rantanen: missed, 0.17 xG, high danger (P1 8:28)Wyatt Johnston: shot on goal, 0.20 xG, high danger (P2 2:51)Steven Stamkos: shot on goal, 0.22 xG, high danger (P1 16:59)Steven Stamkos: shot on goal, 0.23 xG, high danger (P1 16:58)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from NSH's point of view
NSH at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 550:4747–562.01–1.640–1
Power play5:365–70.32–0.532–0
Shorthanded2:090–10.00–0.000–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)1:280–10.00–0.000–0

Read pairs as NSH–DAL. “Power play” means NSH had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Juuse Saros NSH29/30.9672.16+1.16
Casey DeSmith DAL24/26.9232.33+0.33

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingPredators5.7Stars5.9

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Miro HeiskanenDDAL7.610524:3557.9
★Top three of the night: Nils HoglanderFNSH7.410211:3778.9
★Top three of the night: Mikko RantanenFDAL7.201323:5553.3
Wyatt JohnstonFDAL6.901222:5053.5
Juuse SarosGNSH6.800—59:57—
Jack AhcanDNSH6.70105:4957.1
Thomas HarleyDDAL6.600225:5765.9
Sam SteelFDAL6.500216:0970.0
Steven StamkosFNSH6.410420:0242.3
Matthew WoodFNSH6.300316:0664.0
Nils LundkvistDDAL6.200219:0157.5
Ryan O'ReillyFNSH6.201119:5342.3
Adam WilsbyDNSH6.100114:3360.7
William TrudeauDNSH6.100112:1563.0
Alexander KerfootFNSH6.101116:2348.4
Casey DeSmithGDAL6.100—58:24—
Roope HintzFDAL6.000216:0359.3
Jamie BennFDAL6.000213:1263.2
Radek FaksaFDAL5.800110:2866.7
Oskar BäckFDAL5.70029:3855.6
Esa LindellDDAL5.600019:1152.8
Brady SkjeiDNSH5.400218:0550.0
Colin BlackwellFDAL5.40007:2960.0
Jason RobertsonFDAL5.400118:5055.6
Tyler SeguinFDAL5.400312:3445.2
Filip ForsbergFNSH5.300121:4050.0
Roman JosiDNSH5.301024:3830.8
Adam EdstromFNSH5.300413:5940.7
Justin HryckowianFDAL5.200114:3041.7
Arttu HyryFDAL5.200112:2945.0
Nick PerbixDNSH5.200118:3948.6
Mavrik BourqueFNSH5.100218:0542.4
Lian BichselDDAL5.000015:1240.0
Tyler MyersDDAL4.900114:2739.1
Jack DruryFNSH4.800013:3837.0
Ross ColtonFNSH4.800015:1938.2
Jonathan MarchessaultFNSH4.800316:2232.3
Nicolas HagueDNSH4.300021:0028.9

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Predators

Forward lines

  • Stamkos – O'Reilly – Kerfoot9:59 · 9–12 · xG 0.6–0.4
  • Marchessault – Colton – Bourque8:33 · 7–13 · xG 0.1–0.3
  • Forsberg – Hoglander – Wood7:03 · 13–3 · xG 0.6–0.1

Defence pairs

  • Josi – Hague16:46 · 8–25 · xG 0.3–0.7
  • Skjei – Perbix14:40 · 16–16 · xG 0.7–0.5
  • Wilsby – Trudeau9:24 · 13–9 · xG 0.8–0.3

Stars

Forward lines

  • Rantanen – Johnston – Hryckowian7:51 · 6–12 · xG 0.4–0.7
  • Seguin – Hintz – Robertson5:47 · 5–6 · xG 0.1–0.7
  • Benn – Steel – Hyry5:25 · 3–2 · xG 0.1–0.1
  • Blackwell – Faksa – Bäck5:06 · 3–2 · xG 0.1–0.1

Defence pairs

  • Lundkvist – Harley14:46 · 19–13 · xG 0.7–0.7
  • Lindell – Heiskanen13:17 · 13–15 · xG 0.4–0.8
  • Myers – Bichsel11:49 · 8–12 · xG 0.2–0.4

Three stars

  1. ★S. StamkosNSH · 1G 0A
  2. ★★J. SarosNSH · .967 SV%
  3. ★★★R. O'ReillyNSH · 0G 1A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 00:47DAL M. Heiskanen (from M. Rantanen, W. Johnston)1–0
  • 04:46NSH S. Stamkos pp (from R. O'Reilly, R. Josi)1–1
  • 15:49NSH N. Hoglander pp (from J. Ahcan, A. Kerfoot)1–2