Skip to content
HockeyWeights

ColoradoWeights

Final

STL at COL game report

Blues
1–6
Avalanche

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. MT · Ball Arena

Avalanche beat the Blues 6–1 and earned it, out-chancing them 3.3–2.0 in expected goals and 11–6 in high-danger chances.

Team comparison

COLSTL
  • 6Goals1
  • 3.25Expected goals1.99
  • 2.665-on-5 expected goals1.79
  • 11High-danger chances6
  • 36Shots on goal26
  • 66Shot attempts55
  • 555-on-5 shot attempts50
  • 9:35Power-play time4:07

5-on-5 shares for COL: 52.4% of shot attempts, 59.7% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

AvalancheBluesCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Blues shooting ←→ Avalanche shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Cam Fowler: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 17:49)Connor McMichael: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 16:54)Philip Broberg: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 11:26)Devon Toews: missed, 0.00 xG (P2 4:54)Brent Burns: missed, 0.00 xG (P1 12:33)Philip Broberg: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 0:21)Connor McMichael: missed, 0.00 xG (P2 12:09)Brent Burns: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 2:10)Devon Toews: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 11:07)Adam Jiricek: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 0:43)Pavel Buchnevich: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 4:41)Brent Burns: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 1:30)Mason McTavish: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 3:49)Philip Broberg: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 8:12)Sam Malinski: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 18:16)Jonatan Berggren: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 2:04)Brandon Carlo: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 9:38)Theo Lindstein: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 5:03)Josh Manson: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 1:20)Cale Makar: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 16:37)Nathan MacKinnon: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 7:06)Dylan Holloway: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 17:31)Jimmy Snuggerud: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 15:32)Noah Juulsen: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 10:04)Nicolas Roy: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 9:40)Jaden Schwartz: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 16:28)T.J. Hughes: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 6:17)Brent Burns: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 15:04)Colton Parayko: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 4:52)Noah Juulsen: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 6:21)Josh Manson: goal, 0.03 xG (P2 5:38)Brandon Carlo: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 6:32)Adam Jiricek: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 8:00)Pavel Buchnevich: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 19:30)Nathan MacKinnon: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 19:26)Dylan Holloway: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 4:31)T.J. Hughes: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 2:01)Jaden Schwartz: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 11:49)Cale Makar: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 11:13)Nathan MacKinnon: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 8:49)Colton Parayko: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 5:03)Brent Burns: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 9:59)Dalibor Dvorsky: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 11:39)Nicolas Roy: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 7:02)Nazem Kadri: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 6:11)Jake Neighbours: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 15:44)Mason McTavish: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 7:26)Nazem Kadri: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P1 7:39)Jonatan Berggren: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 10:56)Nathan MacKinnon: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 13:30)Martin Necas: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P1 9:53)Pavel Buchnevich: missed, 0.06 xG (P2 12:49)Nazem Kadri: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P1 7:40)Colton Parayko: missed, 0.06 xG (P1 12:50)Parker Kelly: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 15:18)Jonatan Berggren: missed, 0.07 xG (P1 14:11)Adam Jiricek: missed, 0.07 xG (P1 2:56)Colton Parayko: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P2 19:33)Jonatan Berggren: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P2 10:33)Brock Nelson: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P3 0:48)Nazem Kadri: missed, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 8:47)Artturi Lehkonen: goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 11:40)Fedor Svechkov: shot on goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P3 9:42)Artturi Lehkonen: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P3 9:03)T.J. Hughes: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P3 7:00)Dalibor Dvorsky: shot on goal, 0.10 xG, high danger (P3 11:41)T.J. Hughes: missed, 0.10 xG (P1 18:13)Connor McMichael: shot on goal, 0.10 xG, high danger (P1 4:42)Nazem Kadri: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P3 8:35)Martin Necas: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P2 15:24)Nicolas Roy: goal, 0.11 xG (P2 18:02)Jaden Schwartz: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P3 8:57)Martin Necas: goal, 0.12 xG (P1 13:12)Jake Neighbours: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P2 8:11)Nicolas Roy: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P1 12:23)Mason McTavish: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P3 6:23)Martin Necas: goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 18:25)Nathan MacKinnon: shot on goal, 0.13 xG (P1 19:33)Jaden Schwartz: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P1 2:11)Jonatan Berggren: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P3 5:35)Cale Makar: goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P1 4:09)Sam Malinski: shot on goal, 0.16 xG (P3 5:11)Dalibor Dvorsky: goal, 0.16 xG, high danger (P3 2:34)Dylan Holloway: shot on goal, 0.17 xG (P3 4:56)Robert Thomas: missed, 0.19 xG, high danger (P1 18:51)Fedor Svechkov: shot on goal, 0.21 xG, high danger (P1 12:23)Nathan MacKinnon: shot on goal, 0.23 xG, high danger (P1 8:36)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from COL's point of view
COL at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 546:1855–502.66–1.796–1
Power play9:3511–40.59–0.200–0
Shorthanded4:070–10.00–0.000–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)0:000–00.00–0.000–0

Read pairs as COL–STL. “Power play” means COL had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Jordan Binnington STL30/36.8333.25-2.75
Mackenzie Blackwood COL25/26.9621.99+0.99

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingAvalanche6.8Blues5.2

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Martin NecasFCOL9.221419:2146.4
★Top three of the night: Nathan MacKinnonFCOL9.003418:1652.9
★Top three of the night: Josh MansonDCOL8.711216:3657.5
Parker KellyFCOL8.502115:3166.7
Nicolas RoyFCOL8.111312:5357.1
Artturi LehkonenFCOL7.711219:2639.3
Cale MakarDCOL7.410320:0457.1
Fedor SvechkovFCOL6.700215:0566.7
Mackenzie BlackwoodGCOL6.600—60:00—
Gabriel LandeskogFCOL6.401014:3541.2
T.J. HughesFCOL6.400219:5658.1
Connor McMichaelFSTL6.300215:1966.7
Sam MalinskiDCOL6.200115:3740.6
Brent BurnsDCOL6.100213:1067.6
Pavel BuchnevichFSTL6.100215:4360.0
Jaden SchwartzFCOL6.100414:1459.3
Dalibor DvorskyFSTL6.010312:1740.0
Mason McTavishFSTL6.000314:5753.8
Devon ToewsDCOL5.800018:5553.8
Brandon CarloDSTL5.800217:3653.1
Theo LindsteinDSTL5.801014:2642.1
Cam FowlerDSTL5.700123:2450.0
Colton ParaykoDSTL5.400220:4558.6
Nazem KadriFCOL5.400418:2734.5
Noah JuulsenDCOL5.300110:5544.4
Philip BrobergDSTL5.200320:1659.4
Brock NelsonFCOL5.100116:1137.5
Jimmy SnuggerudFSTL5.100114:5154.3
Brett KulakDCOL5.000016:4840.6
Jake NeighboursFSTL4.800113:4337.5
Pius SuterFSTL4.800016:1444.4
Robert ThomasFSTL4.700016:3048.4
Dylan HollowayFSTL4.700215:3545.2
Dillon DubeFSTL4.600013:1641.2
Zach DeanFSTL4.600012:3747.8
Jordan BinningtonGSTL4.500—60:00—
Jonatan BerggrenFSTL4.400314:4833.3
Adam JiricekDSTL4.100119:4330.0

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Avalanche

Forward lines

  • Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Necas10:46 · 9–14 · xG 0.5–0.4
  • Kadri – Nelson – Landeskog7:04 · 3–9 · xG 0.2–0.3
  • Schwartz – Svechkov – Hughes4:40 · 10–2 · xG 0.3–0.0

Defence pairs

  • Toews – Makar8:39 · 11–9 · xG 0.5–0.1
  • Burns – Manson6:43 · 16–6 · xG 0.7–0.2
  • Kulak – Malinski5:01 · 7–8 · xG 0.3–0.3

Blues

Forward lines

  • Dube – Suter – Dean10:26 · 6–10 · xG 0.1–0.5
  • Thomas – Holloway – Snuggerud9:16 · 10–10 · xG 0.5–0.4
  • Buchnevich – McMichael – McTavish7:26 · 9–5 · xG 0.2–0.2
  • Berggren – Neighbours – Dvorsky6:33 · 6–11 · xG 0.3–0.6

Defence pairs

  • Parayko – Broberg12:28 · 12–10 · xG 0.2–0.7
  • Fowler – Jiricek11:30 · 9–19 · xG 0.2–0.4
  • Carlo – Lindstein8:26 · 9–15 · xG 0.4–0.8

Three stars

  1. ★M. NecasCOL · 2G 1A
  2. ★★N. MacKinnonCOL · 0G 3A
  3. ★★★A. LehkonenCOL · 1G 1A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 04:09COL C. Makar (from M. Necas, N. MacKinnon)0–1
  • 13:12COL M. Necas (from N. MacKinnon, A. Lehkonen)0–2

Period 2

  • 05:38COL J. Manson (from N. Roy, P. Kelly)0–3
  • 11:40COL A. Lehkonen0–4
  • 18:02COL N. Roy (from P. Kelly, J. Manson)0–5
  • 18:25COL M. Necas (from G. Landeskog, N. MacKinnon)0–6

Period 3

  • 02:34STL D. Dvorsky (from T. Lindstein)1–6